Course 18 of 20 · Coffee Desk Academy

Origin Diversification & Supply Resilience

Stage E, Resilience and integrated desk practice. Level 9 of 10.

Designing an origin portfolio that survives a crop failure, export restriction or logistics breakdown in any single country.

116 chapters · 11 modules · every chapter one 8 to 10 minute explainer · builds on: Course 04, Course 06, Course 07, Course 17

Enrol or enquire See the 116 chapters
How a chapter is delivered

One chapter is one idea taken to the point of use

Each chapter covers one idea to the point where you can use it, and comes two ways: a narrated explainer, and a deep dive audio discussion of around thirty minutes that works the same material at depth.

Self-paced throughout, and the same chapters can be taught as a cohort. Chapters run in order: each one assumes only what the chapters before it taught, and capability belonging to a later course is named and deferred rather than half-covered.

Curriculum

11 modules · 116 chapters

Open any module for its full chapter list, in teaching order.

M0 An Origin Book Someone Designed Rather Than Accumulated Ch 1-10
  1. The Crop Year Five Origins Behaved Like One
  2. Whose Desk This Is: The Merchant Holding Forward Sales to Roasters
  3. What Counts as One Origin and What Only Looks Like Two
  4. Supply Failure and Financial Failure Are Not the Same Exposure
  5. Crop Balances, Procurement Structures, Documents and Premiums, All Taken as Held
  6. Resilience Written as a Sentence the Desk Can Be Held To
  7. The Commitments an Origin Design Has to Protect
  8. Substitutability as the Property That Makes Spreading Work at All
  9. Five Readers of One Origin Design
  10. Independence and Four Other Assumptions Named Rather Than Asserted
M1 What Sits Behind an Origin Line Ch 11-21
  1. A Country Line Is Not a Growing Region
  2. Altitude Band as a Dependency of Its Own
  3. Varietal Narrowness Behind a Diverse-Looking Book
  4. The Wet Mill and the Dry Mill as Single Points
  5. The Exporter Group Standing Between the Desk and the Farm
  6. The Inland Leg From Mill to Load Port
  7. The Load Port and Its Single-Berth Problem
  8. The Ocean Service and the Transhipment Hub Behind It
  9. The Certification Scheme and Its Auditor as a Shared Node
  10. The Discharge Port and Warehouse the Whole Book Lands In
  11. A Dependency Sheet Built Across Six Origins, Worked
M2 Finding the Correlation Before the Crop Year Does Ch 22-33
  1. Spreading as a Tendency With Named Exceptions
  2. Independence Was the Working Assumption, and Here Is What Defeats It
  3. Judging Whether Two Origins Fail in the Same Year
  4. Geographic Spread Read Wrongly as Independence
  5. One Climate Signal Reaching Origins on Three Continents
  6. Shared Harvest Windows and the Arrival Calendar
  7. Coinciding Light Years in Arabica
  8. One Planting Material Across Three Countries
  9. One Exporter Group Behind Three Country Lines
  10. One Scheme Across the Certified Half of the Book
  11. One Import Rule Correlating Origins That Share Nothing Else
  12. A Book That Spread on Paper Only, Worked
M3 When the Crop Fails in One Country Ch 34-43
  1. A Short Crop Read as a Hole in the Sold Book
  2. Frost in a Producing Region and the Two Crop Years It Takes
  3. Drought That Leaves the Tonnage and Takes the Grade
  4. Leaf Rust and a Recovery Measured in Seasons
  5. A Failure Confined to One Species Rather Than One Country
  6. Carry-Over Stock as the First Buffer and Its Short Reach
  7. Switching Origin Inside the Same Quality Description
  8. Switching Species and What the Customer Must Agree
  9. The Failure You Hear About Too Late to Act On
  10. One Country's Harvest Failure Run Through the Book, Worked
M4 When a Country Restricts Export Ch 44-53
  1. Policy Risk Has a Different Shape From Weather Risk
  2. The Instruments a Producing State Has Available
  3. A Registered Minimum Export Price and the Contract That Cannot Clear
  4. A Compulsory Auction or Marketing Channel
  5. An Export Levy That Moves the Landed Cost Mid-Contract
  6. Licensing Withdrawn From Your Exporter Rather Than the Country
  7. A Restriction Reaching Contracts Already Signed
  8. Destination-Side Prohibition as the Mirror Image
  9. Reading Policy Exposure Without Forecasting Politics
  10. An Origin the Desk Decides Not to Buy From
M5 When the Route Breaks Ch 54-63
  1. A Route Failure Read as a Date Rather Than a Tonnage
  2. The Container That Is Not at the Mill
  3. Booking Space on a Thin Trade Lane
  4. A Chokepoint Reroute and the Weeks It Adds
  5. Time in Transit Turning a Delay Into a Claim
  6. Congestion and Labour Action at the Discharge Port
  7. An Inland Corridor Closed in a Landlocked Origin
  8. A Second Load Port Inside One Origin
  9. The Alternative Route That Was Never There
  10. One Route Failure Run Through the Book, Worked
M6 The Instruments of Origin Diversification Ch 64-75
  1. Instruments Rather Than Simply More Suppliers
  2. A Second Region Inside the Same Country
  3. A Second Species Across the Book
  4. Arrivals Spread Across the Calendar Rather Than the Map
  5. A Second Exporter Inside One Origin
  6. Two Channels Into One Producing Country
  7. Coverage Laddered Across Crop Years
  8. Stock Held Against the Largest Single-Origin Dependency
  9. A Call on Origin Volume Rather Than a Purchase
  10. A Standing Relationship as an Unwritten Claim on Volume
  11. Exchange-Deliverable Coffee as a Backstop, Not a Plan
  12. Which Instrument to Reach For First
M7 The Single-Country Failure Test Ch 76-86
  1. A Design Is Not Finished Until It Has Been Failed
  2. Choosing Which Country to Remove
  3. Removing an Origin Properly: Volume, Grade, Window and Quality
  4. Tracing the Removal Through to Named Sales
  5. Testing Substitution Against the Description, Not the Cup Table
  6. The Replacement Cost the Test Has to Carry
  7. A Pass, a Qualified Pass and a Fail
  8. Removing Two Origins That Were Never Independent
  9. Removing a Shared Node Instead of a Country
  10. The Test That Passed Because the Assumptions Were Generous
  11. A Full Single-Country Test Run and Reported, Worked
M8 How Much Independence Is Worth Buying Ch 87-96
  1. Spreading Has a Price and the Price Is Visible
  2. The Many Origins Argument and Its Assumptions
  3. The Few Deep Relationships Argument and Its Assumptions
  4. What the Two Arguments Actually Disagree About
  5. The Smallest Origin Worth Carrying
  6. Concentration Measured Against Commitments Rather Than Purchases
  7. Setting a Concentration Ceiling and Arguing the Number
  8. When One More Origin Leaves the Desk Worse Off
  9. Paying for Independence the Book Already Has
  10. A Diversification Budget Argued to a Committee
M9 Keeping the Design Alive Ch 97-105
  1. The Origin Register the Desk Keeps Current
  2. Who May Open an Origin and Who May Close One
  3. Reviewing the Design Before a Crop Goes Wrong
  4. Recording Why This Origin and Not the Other
  5. Dissent Filed Beside the Origin It Concerns
  6. Re-Testing After a Node Changes Hands
  7. Pre-Approved Substitutes and the Cupping Lab's Standing Role
  8. Explaining the Design to a Roaster That Wants One Origin
  9. What a Successor Cannot Rebuild From the Trade Files
M10 A Book Designed, Tested and Honestly Bounded Ch 106-116
  1. The Worked Merchant, Part One: Six Origins and the Sales Behind Them
  2. The Worked Merchant, Part Two: The Dependency Sheet as Found
  3. The Worked Merchant, Part Three: The Correlations Nobody Had Written Down
  4. The Worked Merchant, Part Four: The Instruments Chosen and Rejected
  5. The Worked Merchant, Part Five: The Brazilian Line Removed
  6. The Worked Merchant, Part Six: An Export Channel Suspended Instead
  7. The Same Sold Book Designed Breadth-First and Depth-First
  8. Independence, Calendars and Substitution, Revisited
  9. What No Origin Design Survives
  10. A Design Judged on Its Argument, Not on the Season It Met
  11. The Tested Origin Book Handed to Stress and Simulation

The brochure gives each of these 116 chapters a paragraph on what it covers and what you can do once you have worked through it.

This is course 18 of twenty

It stands alone, and it is also the entry point to the Coffee Desk Academy pathway.

Enrol or enquire See the whole pathway