Detect the trade. Reconstruct the behaviour. Prove the case.
Master energy and commodity trade surveillance across REMIT, MAR, physical markets, derivatives, ETRM data and surveillance analytics. Build detection models, investigate suspicious behaviour, and work through realistic gas, power, LNG, crude and emissions cases.
REMIT · MAR · Physical & financial manipulation · Surveillance analytics · ETRM · Investigations
A suspicious energy trade rarely tells the whole story
An order may look legitimate. A physical nomination may look legitimate. A profitable derivatives position may look legitimate. Correlate them and the picture can change completely.
This programme teaches you to reconstruct that picture - and to tell the difference between behaviour that is suspicious and behaviour that merely looks unusual.
From raw activity to escalation
Every chapter answers the same six questions: what happened, what data reveals it, the detection logic, the false positives, the investigation, and the disposition.
Six families of abuse
Spoofing & layering
Order-book behaviour and cancellation patterns.
Wash & circular trading
Related entities and artificial volume.
Marking the close
Trading around settlement and benchmark windows.
Physical withholding
Asset availability, capacity and financial benefit.
Gas & power manipulation
Nominations, storage, congestion and dispatch.
Cross-market manipulation
Physical, futures, OTC and related positions.
Don't just study surveillance. Build it.
Students build progressively from raw trading data to a functioning surveillance workflow. By the end you hold working artefacts, not lecture notes.
- Commodity surveillance data model
- Order-book reconstruction engine
- Spoofing detector
- Wash-trade detector
- Marking-the-close detector
- Physical-withholding detector
- Position and P&L correlation engine
- Trader behaviour model
- Graph-based relationship detector
- Alert risk-scoring engine
- Investigation case pack
- Mini surveillance platform
The NorthStar case
Rather than 130 disconnected examples, the programme follows one fictional firm - NorthStar Energy Trading, with desks in European gas, power, LNG, crude and emissions, and fifteen traders. Relationships between orders, trades, assets, nominations, positions, prices, P&L and communications emerge slowly across the course.
Was it sophisticated trading - or market manipulation?
Fictional training scenario. NorthStar Energy Trading, its traders, figures and alerts are invented for teaching purposes. This is not a real enforcement case and does not describe any actual firm, person or investigation.
Students receive orders, executions, positions, market prices, storage and nomination data, physical asset activity and simulated communications. The task is to reconstruct the case and defend the conclusion. Some alerts are genuine abuse. Some are false positives. Some look innocent alone and become suspicious only when correlated.
11 modules · 130 chapters
The design principle is cumulative: chapter 130 should be impossible to complete properly without the artefacts built in the chapters before it. Market structure, then regulation, data, detection, physical markets, cross-market relationships, analytics, alerts, investigation, technology, and finally the capstone.
M0 Surveillance Desk Primer Ch 1–8 · 8 chapters
Establish the end-to-end mental model before any regulation or code.
Lab: investigate your first simplified suspicious trade
- What a Commodity Trade Surveillance Function Actually Does
- Front Office → ETRM → Surveillance → Compliance → Regulator
- Orders, Executions, Trades, Positions and Physical Operations
- Financial vs Physical Commodity Surveillance
- Anatomy of a Surveillance Alert
- From Alert to Investigation to Case Closure
- False Positive vs Suspicious Behaviour
- End-to-End Surveillance Operating Model
M1 Market Abuse & Regulatory Foundations Ch 9–20 · 12 chapters
Current REMIT, not the 2011 framework treated as static.
- Why Commodity Markets Need Surveillance
- Market Manipulation Fundamentals
- Attempted Market Manipulation
- Insider Trading
- Inside Information
- REMIT Architecture
- Revised REMIT and the New Surveillance Landscape
- MAR and Commodity Derivatives
- REMIT vs MAR
- ACER, NRAs, Exchanges and Market Operators
- Suspicious Transaction/Order Reporting
- Building a Regulatory Control Matrix
M2 Trading & Surveillance Data Ch 21–32 · 12 chapters
The surveillance data foundation everything later depends on.
Build: canonical surveillance data model
- Order Lifecycle
- Execution Lifecycle
- Trade Lifecycle
- Amendments and Cancellations
- Order-Book Reconstruction
- Trader and Account Hierarchies
- Instrument and Contract Reference Data
- Market Data and Tick Data
- Position Data
- P&L Data
- Physical/Nomination Data
- Creating the Surveillance Golden Record
M3 Order & Trade Manipulation Ch 33–47 · 15 chapters
The first detection library: order and trade manipulation patterns.
- Spoofing
- Layering
- Wash Trading
- Self-Trading
- Pre-arranged Trading
- Circular Trading
- Painting the Tape
- Marking the Close
- Momentum Ignition
- Quote Stuffing
- Abusive Order Cancellation
- Artificial Price Formation
- Benchmark Manipulation
- Collusive Behaviour
- Manipulation Pattern Comparison Lab
M4 Physical Energy Market Manipulation Ch 48–62 · 15 chapters
The signature module. Where this stops resembling a banking course.
- Why Physical Energy Surveillance Is Different
- Generator Capacity Withholding
- Economic Withholding
- Physical Withholding
- Pipeline Capacity Manipulation
- Gas Nomination Behaviour
- Storage Injection/Withdrawal Manipulation
- LNG Cargo Behaviour
- Transmission Congestion
- Power Dispatch and Outages
- False Availability Information
- Physical Asset → Price Relationship
- Physical Position → Financial Benefit
- Cross-Commodity Physical Manipulation
- Building a Physical-Market Surveillance Model
M5 Gas, Power, LNG & Commodity Cases Ch 63–74 · 12 chapters
Desk-specific investigations across gas, power, LNG, crude and emissions.
- TTF Surveillance
- NBP Surveillance
- European Power Markets
- Intraday Power Manipulation
- Day-Ahead Market Behaviour
- Gas Storage Case
- Pipeline Capacity Case
- LNG Cargo Diversion Case
- Crude Oil Benchmark Case
- Emissions Market Case
- Freight/Commodity Interaction
- Cross-Market Case Reconstruction
M6 Cross-Market Surveillance Ch 75–84 · 10 chapters
Behaviour that only becomes visible when markets are correlated.
- Physical vs Futures Positions
- Spot vs Forward Manipulation
- Futures vs OTC
- Exchange vs Bilateral Trading
- Commodity vs FX
- Commodity vs Freight
- Commodity vs Emissions
- Related Accounts
- Beneficial Ownership and Entity Networks
- Cross-Market Manipulation Detection
M7 Surveillance Analytics Ch 85–99 · 15 chapters
Rules, statistics, behaviour profiling, graph analytics and ML. Python and SQL throughout.
- Rule-Based Surveillance
- Threshold Design
- Time-Window Detection
- Statistical Baselines
- Z-Scores and Anomalies
- Trader Behaviour Profiling
- Peer-Group Analysis
- Time-Series Detection
- Order-Book Features
- Position/P&L Features
- Physical Behaviour Features
- Graph Analytics
- Machine Learning for Surveillance
- Explainable AI for Alerts
- Model Validation and Backtesting
M8 Alert & Investigation Management Ch 100–109 · 10 chapters
From alert generation through evidence to documented disposition.
- Alert Generation
- Alert Prioritisation
- Risk Scoring
- Evidence Collection
- Timeline Reconstruction
- Trader Behaviour Analysis
- Communications Correlation
- Investigator Notes
- Escalation and Case Governance
- Closing and Documenting an Investigation
M9 ETRM & Surveillance Architecture Ch 110–119 · 10 chapters
The architecture that carries all of it in production.
- ETRM as Surveillance Source
- Trade Capture Integration
- Market Data Integration
- Position/P&L Integration
- Physical Operations Integration
- Kafka/Event Architecture
- Surveillance Lakehouse
- ClickHouse Surveillance Analytics
- Detection Microservices
- Case Management Architecture
M10 Capstone Ch 120–130 · 11 chapters
The NorthStar case. Everything built in chapters 1 to 129 is needed here.
- Capstone Introduction
- Synthetic Energy Trading Firm
- Traders and Desk Structure
- Market Dataset
- Order Dataset
- ETRM Trade Dataset
- Position/P&L Dataset
- Physical Operations Dataset
- Hidden Manipulation Scenarios
- Conduct the Investigation
- Produce the Final Surveillance Case Report
Surveillance is a cross-functional job
The programme assumes no prior surveillance experience, but does assume comfort with data. Python and SQL are used throughout rather than taught from zero.
Three ways to take Energy & Commodity Trade Surveillance & Market Abuse
| Feature | Self-paced | Cohort | Enterprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Format | Written chapters, video explainers and podcasts | Everything in self-paced, plus scheduled live sessions | Everything in cohort, delivered privately to your team |
| Live sessions | None | Scheduled, instructor-led | Scheduled, instructor-led, private |
| Mentorship | Not offered | Not offered | Not offered |
| Access | Lifetime | Lifetime | Lifetime for every enrolled seat |
| Pace | Entirely your own | Guided schedule with a peer group | Agreed with your desk |
| Tailoring | Fixed curriculum | Fixed curriculum | Sequenced to your markets, systems and governance |
| Best for | Individuals learning around a job | Individuals who want structure and deadlines | Desks building the same capability together |
Get the programme guide
The full chapter list, what each module covers, and how the tiers compare - sent to your inbox as a PDF.
Run this for my desk
Private delivery for your desk, sequenced to your markets and systems. Tell us the team and we will scope it.
Run this for my deskBuild it, don't just study it
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